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2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks, predictions: Golf insider high on Patrick Cantlay at Bay Hill

The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing this week with the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, which begins on Thursday. It is another Signature Event, meaning some of the top golfers in the world are competing in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field. Kevin Chappell is the only golfer in the last seven years to register four rounds in the 60s in the same tournament at this course, and challenging conditions are expected again this year. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler is the +320 favorite (risk $100 to win $320) in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, while past champion Rory McIlroy is +750 on the PGA odds board.  

Jason Day is the only other past champion in the field, but he is an 80-1 longshot. Which golfers should you back with your 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational bets? Before making any 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, you need to see the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald.

McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in 2022 after stops at NBC Sports and RyderCup.com. Covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis between the PGA Tour, DP World Tour and more. Featured weekly on the Early Wedge, he gave out numerous winners in 2024, including Jake Knapp (50-1) at the Mexico Open and Xander Schauffele (20-1) at the PGA Championship. He already nailed Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot in The American Express this year. Anyone who followed his betting picks could have been way up on betting apps and sportsbooks.

Now, McDonald has focused his attention on the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and locked in his best bets and top longshot sleepers. You can only see them here.

Top 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks

McDonald loves the value of Patrick Cantlay at +3000 (risk $100 to win $3,000) this week. Bay Hill is one of the most challenging tests on the PGA Tour, creating serious problems for missed fairways and playing from the rough. Cantlay is one of the top golfers in the field in terms of ball striking on similar courses, using precision to his advantage in these conditions. 

He is also one of nine players in the field who rank inside the top 40 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green, scrambling and bogey avoidance. Cantlay has made the cut in all four of his tournaments this season, carding top-five finishes in the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. He finished T4 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational two years ago, and McDonald expects him to be in contention on Sunday again this weekend.   

“The putter has turned around drastically from the downturn in 2024 and the iron play has followed suit as well. He’s doing everything well at the moment which should translate to success at a difficult test like Bay Hill,” McDonald told SportsLine. See who else to back here.

How to make 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational golf picks

McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has also selected an epic longshot who’s priced over 160-1. This golfer has the “ability to navigate rounds in this type of scoring environment.” You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So which players should you target for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which golfer could bring a huge payday of more than 160-1? Check out the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald’s top picks for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert who gave out Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express.

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field

See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +320
Rory McIlroy +750
Ludvig Aberg +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Justin Thomas +2800
Patrick Cantlay +3000
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Sungjae Im +4500
Will Zalatoris +5000
Sam Burns +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Maverick McNealy +5500
Wyndham Clark +6000
Robert MacIntyre +6000
Tony Finau +6000
Russell Henley +6500
Shane Lowry +6500
Daniel Berger +6500
Sepp Straka +7000
Corey Conners +7000
Taylor Pendrith +7000
Tom Kim +7500
Michael Kim +8000
Jason Day +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Jake Knapp +8000
Denny Mccarthy +9000
Adam Scott +9000
Min Woo Lee +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Billy Horschel +10000
Aaron Rai +11000
Max Greyserman +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Samuel Stevens +11000
Patrick Rodgers +11000
Cameron Young +11000
Sahith Theegala +11000
Thomas Detry +11000
Lucas Glover +12000
Brian Harman +12000
Alex Smalley +12000|
J.T. Poston +12000
Aldrich Potgieter +12000
Byeong Hun An +12000
Taylor Moore +12000
Nick Taylor +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Isaiah Salinda +15000

Where to bet on PGA Tour tournaments

Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, along with the various PGA Tour sportsbook promos they currently offer.



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