Golf

2025 Genesis Invitational picks, Tiger Woods odds: Surprising predictions by model that’s nailed 13 majors

Tiger Woods will be part of the 2025 Genesis Invitational field when play gets underway from Torrey Pines Golf Course on Thursday, Feb. 13. Woods, a 15-time major champion, is making his 2025 PGA Tour debut at a venue he’s extremely familiar with. Woods has recorded eight career victories at Torrey Pines, but can you trust him with your 2025 Genesis Invitational picks? The 49-year-old last appeared on the PGA Tour when he missed the cut at The Open last July at Royal Troon and completed only 11 rounds in five events in 2024.  

Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1-ranked player in the world, is the +350 favorite (risk $100 to win $350), according to the latest 2025 Genesis Invitational odds. He’s followed by Rory McIlroy (7-1), Collin Morikawa (14-1) and defending champion Hideki Matsuyama (22-1) on the PGA odds board. Woods is among the intriguing longshots at 220-1 (risk $100 to win $22,000). Before locking in your 2025 Genesis Invitational picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics. 

Now that the 2025 Genesis Invitational field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2025 Genesis Invitational predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Genesis Invitational: Scheffler, the No. 1-ranked player in the world and the odds-on favorite, fails to finish on top of the leaderboard this week. Scheffler had a historic season in 2024, racking up seven wins and 16 top-10 finishes. 

However, Scheffler is off to a bit of a slow start to those lofty standards in 2025, finishing T-9 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T-25 at the WM Phoenix Open. He’s struggled with accuracy off the tee this season, ranking 82nd in driving accuracy (58.93%) and 91st in total driving efficiency (182). Scheffler also ranks 163rd in strokes gained: around the green (-0.456), which doesn’t bode well against such a strong field. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2025 Genesis Invitational field. See who else to fade here.  

Another surprise: Shane Lowry, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Lowry secured a runner-up finish at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this month and is currently ranked second on the PGA Tour in putting average (1.603) and one-putt percentage (50.00%). He also ranks fourth in strokes gained: total (2.220), 15th in strokes gained: off the tee (0.647) and 27th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.751). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2025 Genesis Invitational bets. See who else to pick here.  

How to make 2025 Genesis Invitational picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 40-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2025 Genesis Invitational, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Genesis Invitational odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

2025 Genesis Invitational odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Genesis Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Scottie Scheffler +350
Rory McIlroy +700
Collin Morikawa +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Ludvig Aberg +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Sungjae Im +3000
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Tom Kim +3300
Jordan Spieth +4000
Jason Day +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Taylor Pendrith +4500
Will Zalatoris +5000
Rasmus Hojgaard +5000
Robert MacIntyre +5000
Tony Finau +5000
Sepp Straka +5000
Sam Burns +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Maverick McNealy +6000
Thomas Detry +6000
Russell Henley +6000
Harris English +6000
Keegan Bradley +6500
Min Woo Lee +6500
Sahith Theegala +7000
Byeong Hun An +7000
Corey Conners +7500
Samuel Stevens +8000
Max Greyserman +9000
J.T. Poston +9000
Si Woo Kim +9000
Cameron Young +9000
Adam Scott +9000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Wyndham Clark +10000
J.J. Spaun +10000
Daniel Berger +10000
Davis Thompson +11000
Cameron Davis +12000
Matt Fitzpatrick +12000
Aaron Rai +12000
Billy Horschel +12000
Nick Taylor +12000
Lucas Glover +12000
Andrew Novak +12000
Rickie Fowler +15000
Denny Mccarthy +15000
Austin Eckroat +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Justin Rose +15000
Patrick Rodgers +17000
Brian Harman +17000
Gary Woodland +17000
Max Homa +17000
Michael Kim +17000
Eric Cole +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Nick Dunlap +20000
Seamus Power +22000
Tiger Woods +22000



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