Red-hot teams will clash when the sixth-seeded Washington Commanders meet the third-seeded Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a 2025 NFL Wild Card Weekend matchup on Sunday Night Football. Washington is coming off a 23-19 win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 18, while Tampa Bay defeated the New Orleans Saints, 27-19. The Commanders (12-5), who have won five in a row, are 5-3 on the road this season. The Buccaneers (10-7), who have won six of seven, including two in a row, are 5-4 on their home field.
Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., is set for 8 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a three-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5. The Buccaneers are -163 money-line favorites (risk $163 to win $100), while the Commanders are +138 underdogs. Before making any Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein, considering his mastery of picks involving Washington.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. He’s also an amazing 34-20-1 (+1153) on his last 55 NFL picks on the Commanders. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, Hartstein has locked in on Commanders vs. Buccaneers and just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Buccaneers:
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders spread: Tampa Bay -3
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders over/under: 50.5 points
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders money line: Washington +138, Tampa Bay -163
- WAS: Commanders have hit the money line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.80 units)
- TB: Buccaneers have covered the spread in seven of their last 11 home games (+2.55 units)
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Buccaneers vs. Commanders streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield helps power the Tampa Bay offense. In 17 starts, he has completed 407 of 570 passes (71.4%) for 4,500 yards and 41 touchdowns with 16 interceptions and a 106.8 rating. He has also rushed 60 times for 378 yards (6.3 average) and three touchdowns with two explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 28, with 24 first-down conversions.
Running back Bucky Irving powers the rushing attack. In 17 games, he has carried 207 times for 1,122 yards (5.4 average) and eight touchdowns with eight explosive plays, including a long of 56 yards, and 52 first-down conversions. He also has 47 receptions for 392 yards (8.3 average). See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Commanders can cover
Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been on fire. In 17 games, he has completed 331 of 480 passes (69%) for 3,568 yards and 25 touchdowns with nine interceptions and a rating of 100.1. He is also the team’s top rusher, carrying 148 times for 891 yards (6.0 average) and six touchdowns. He had seven explosive rushes of 20 yards or more, including a long of 46, and has converted 55 first downs.
His top target is veteran wide receiver Terry McLaurin. In 17 games, he has 82 receptions for 1,096 yards (13.4 average) and 13 touchdowns with 12 explosive plays, including a long of 86 yards, and 56 first-down conversions. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks
Hartstein has analyzed Buccaneers vs. Commanders from every possible angle, and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under the total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. Find out what it is, and which team to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Commanders vs. Buccaneers on Sunday night during 2025 NFL Wild Card Weekend, and what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Buccaneers spread to back, all from the expert who is an amazing 34-20 on picks involving Washington, and find out.
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