The roars return to TPC Sawgrass this week when the 2025 Players Championship tees off on Thursday, March 13. The 2025 Players Championship field is one of the strongest of the season, featuring 48 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1-ranked player in the world, is the two-time defending champion and can become the first golfer to successfully three-peat at the Players if he’s able to finish on top of the leaderboard. According to the latest 2025 Players Championship odds, Scheffler is the +360 favorite (risk $100 to win $360).
He’s followed by Rory McIlroy (+800), Collin Morikawa (+1600), Xander Schauffele (+1600), Ludvig Aberg (+2000), and Justin Thomas (+2000) on the PGA odds board. Should your 2025 Players Championship picks include backing one of the favorites, or should you look at a longshot like Jason Day (+6500), Jordan Spieth (+8000) or Rickie Fowler (+11000)? Before locking in your 2025 Players Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 Players Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 Players Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Players Championship: Xander Schauffele, a nine-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Schauffele secured a T-2 finish at the Players Championship in 2024 but has dealt with injuries and inconsistent play early in 2025.
Schauffele is coming off a T-40 showing at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week, his first start back from a rib injury that kept him sidelined since The Sentry, where he finished T-30 in January. Schauffele’s rusty return from injury was magnified with his short game at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He lost 2.84 strokes putting in Round 1 and lost 1.79 shots around the greens. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2025 Players Championship field. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Hideki Matsuyama, a 30-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Matsuyama has had tremendous success at TPC Sawgrass in recent years. The 2021 Masters champion has finished T-6 or better in his last two starts at the Players Championship. He’s an 11-time winner on the PGA Tour, which includes finishing on top of the leaderboard at The Sentry in January. Matsuyama enters this week’s event ranked sixth in strokes gained: total (1.641), 12th in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.167) and 13th in one-putt percentage (44.21%). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2025 Players Championship bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 Players Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 Players Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Players Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 Players Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 Players Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +360
Rory McIlroy +800
Collin Morikawa +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Justin Thomas +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Patrick Cantlay +3500
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Shane Lowry +4000
Russell Henley +4500
Sungjae Im +5500
Sepp Straka +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Sam Burns +6000
Wyndham Clark +6000
Corey Conners +6500
Jason Day +6500
Maverick McNealy +6500
Tony Finau +7000
Viktor Hovland +7000
Si Woo Kim +7000
Daniel Berger +7000
Min Woo Lee +7500
Robert MacIntyre +7500
Jordan Spieth +8000
Tom Kim +8000
Will Zalatoris +8000
Brian Harman +9000
Taylor Pendrith +9000
Adam Scott +9000
J.T. Poston +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Denny Mccarthy +10000
Aaron Rai +10000
Kurt Kitayama +11000
Davis Thompson +11000
Doug Ghim +11000
Rickie Fowler +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Michael Kim +11000
Matt Fitzpatrick +11000
Akshay Bhatia +11000
Ben Griffin +11000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +11000
Keith Mitchell +11000
Rasmus Hojgaard +12000
Max Greyserman +12000
Thomas Detry +12000
Byeong Hun An +12000
Samuel Stevens +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Cameron Young +15000
Justin Rose +15000
Joe Highsmith +15000
Alex Smalley +15000
Seamus Power +15000
Billy Horschel +15000
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