The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are two of the most accomplished franchises of the last decade and will meet at Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans on Sunday, Feb. 9. Kansas City has the chance to become the first team in NFL history to win the Lombardi Trophy three seasons in a row, while Philadelphia is looking for its second Super Bowl and making its second appearance in the title game in three years. The Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites in the Super Bowl odds, but there are plenty of 2025 Super Bowl prop bets to target.
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes had two rushing touchdowns in the AFC Championship Game and is a +440 longshot in the 2025 Super Bowl anytime TD odds at FanDuel. Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley broke opened the game with a 60-yard touchdown run in the NFC Championship Game and is the +400 favorite in the Eagles vs. Chiefs first touchdown scorer odds. Before placing your Chiefs vs. Eagles anytime touchdown props or first TD bets for Super Bowl 2025, you’ll want to see the Super Bowl 59 projections from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Super Bowl LIX on a 31-15 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year, a stunning 67% success rate. Longer term, it is on a 211-143 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-36 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
The model has simulated Super Bowl 2025 10,000 times and you can head to SportsLine to see its Chiefs vs. Eagles TD prop picks.
Top anytime touchdown scorer prop picks for Super Bowl 59
One NFL Championship Weekend anytime touchdown prop we can reveal: The model likes Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith (+240) to score for its Super Bowl 59 anytime touchdown picks. Despite missing four games during the regular season, Smith caught a career-high eight touchdown passes and he scored five touchdowns of 20 yards or longer on the season.
Smith now has 308 catches for 4,011 yards and 27 touchdowns over the first four seasons of his career and he’s caught all 12 of his postseason targets thus far. With Kansas City likely to load the box to stop Barkley, the model is forecasting one-on-one opportunities for Smith. His implied odds to score are 29.9% but the model predicts that he scores in over 50% of simulations. See more 2025 Super Bowl TD props here.
How to make 2025 Super Bowl anytime TD scorer prop picks
The model also lists one player with sky-high odds who should be on your radar and has revealed its best values for first TD scorers during Super Bowl 59. Anyone who includes him in their conference title anytime touchdown props or NFL same-game parlays could hit it big. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Which Eagles vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown props should you target for Super Bowl LIX, and which longshots could pay out big? Visit SportsLine to see which who gets into the end zone on Super Bowl Sunday, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.
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