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2024 RSM Classic odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s nailed 13 majors

Mackenzie Hughes has had tremendous success at the RSM Classic over the years. In fact, Hughes finished on top of the leaderboard in 2016 and secured a runner-up finish in 2021 and 2023. The 33-year-old could certainly find himself in the mix again at Sea Island Resort in St. Simons Island, Georgia, when the 2024 RSM Classic gets underway on Thursday, Nov. 21. 

Hughes, who’s finished T-8 or better in two of his last three starts on the PGA Tour, is listed at 35-1 (risk $100 to win $3,500) according to the latest 2024 RSM Classic odds. Defending champion Ludvig Aberg is the 8-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, followed by Davis Thompson (22-1), Denny McCarthy (25-1) and Brian Harman (25-1). Before locking in your 2024 RSM Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks has seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics. 

Now with the 2024 RSM Classic field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 RSM Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 RSM Classic: Davis Thompson, a PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top five. Thompson recorded his first career victory on the PGA Tour at the John Deere Classic in July. He’s also finished T-12 or better in two of his last four starts, which includes a T-5 showing at the Shriners Children’s Open in October. 

However, Thompson has been inconsistent on the green this season. In fact, the 25-year-old enters this week’s event ranked 70th in one-putt percentage (40.18%), 81st in strokes gained: putting (0.088) and 91st in total putting (197.8). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the RSM Classic field. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: J.J. Spaun, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Spaun has recorded four top-10 finishes this season, which includes a T-6 showing at the Zozo Championship in October. He enters this week’s event ranked 12th in greens in regulation (71.37%) and 17th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.493). Spaun has also finished T-16 or better in each of his last three starts at the RSM Classic, providing great value at these odds. See who else to back here. 

How to make 2024 RSM Classic picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 RSM Classic, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the RSM Classic 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.

2024 RSM Classic odds, field

Get full 2024 RSM Classic picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Ludvig Åberg +800
Davis Thompson +2200
Denny McCarthy +2500
Brian Harman +2500
Si Woo Kim +2800
Matt Wallace +3000
J.T. Poston +3300
Seamus Power +3300
Harris English +3500
Mackenzie Hughes +3500
Ben Griffin +3500
Maverick McNealy +3500
Luke Clanton +3500
J.J. Spaun +3500
Eric Cole +4000
Chris Kirk +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
Andrew Novak +4500
Doug Ghim +4500
Keith Mitchell +5000
Austin Eckroat +5000
Justin Lower +5000
Sepp Straka +5000
Patrick Rodgers +5000
Matt Kuchar +5000
Adam Svensson +5500
Patrick Fishburn +5500
Matt McCarty +5500
Sam Stevens +6000
Jacob Bridgeman +6500
Taylor Moore +6500
Andrew Putnam +6500
Michael Kim +7000
Mark Hubbard +7500
Adam Hadwin +7500
Bud Cauley +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Michael Thorbjornsen +8000
Joe Highsmith +8000
Daniel Berger +9000
Chandler Phillips +9000
Vince Whaley +9000
Webb Simpson +9000
Greyson Sigg +9000
Nico Echavarria +11000
Patton Kizzire +11000
Steven Fisk +12000
Kevin Yu +12000
Brendon Todd +12000
Henrik Norlander +12000
Lee Hodges +12000
Nick Hardy +12000
Alex Smalley +12000
Carson Young +12000



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