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2025 Sony Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s nailed 13 majors

The 2025 Sony Open gets underway from Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii, on Thursday, Jan. 9. Experienced and amateur bettors alike will lock in wagers for this event, which features a great mix of proven champions and budding superstars eager to make their mark on the PGA Tour. Major champions like Hideki Matsuyama, Keegan Bradley and Brian Harman are expected to be in the mix at the 2025 Sony Open, with 500 FedEx Cup points going to the winner. Matsuyama secured his 11th career PGA Tour title with a historic performance last week at The Sentry and will headline the 2025 Sony Open field. 

Matsuyama set a PGA Tour record for the lowest 72-hole score in relation to par at -35 and is listed as the 9-1 favorite (risk $100 to win $900) according to the latest 2025 Sony Open odds. He’s followed by Corey Conners (14-1), Tom Kim (20-1) and Russell Henley (20-1) on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2025 Sony Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics. 

Now with the Sony Open 2025 field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2025 Sony Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Sony Open: Matsuyama, an 11-time PGA Tour champion and the odds-on favorite, fails to finish on top of the leaderboard. Matsuyama tied the record for most birdies in a single PGA Tour event with 35 at The Sentry last week. 

However, he has never won back-to-back starts on the PGA Tour and has finished T-30 or worse in his past two starts at the Sony Open. Matsuyama also struggled off the tee last season, ranking 132nd in driving accuracy (58.80%) and 160th in total driving (239). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2025 Sony Open field. See who else to fade here. 

Another surprise: Taylor Pendrith, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Pendrith secured a top-10 finish at the Sony Open in 2024 and is coming off a 13th-place showing at The Sentry last week. He has all the tools needed to be in the mix again this week at Waialae Country Club. In fact, the 33-year-old currently ranks seventh in putting average (1.629), 12th in greens in regulation percentage (86.11%) and 13th in scoring average (67.50). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2025 Sony Open bets. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2025 Sony Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2025 Sony Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Sony Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

2025 Sony Open odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Sony Open picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Hideki Matsuyama +900
Corey Conners +1400
Tom Kim +2000
Russell Henley +2000
Byeong Hun An +2200
Keegan Bradley +2500
Robert MacIntyre +2800
Maverick McNealy +2800
Si Woo Kim +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Sahith Theegala +3500
Taylor Pendrith +3500
Luke Clanton +4000
J.T. Poston +4000
Austin Eckroat +4500
Davis Thompson +4500
Brian Harman +4500
Harry Hall +5000
Ben Griffin +5000
Chris Kirk +5500
Sepp Straka +6000
Cam Davis +6000
Daniel Berger +6500
Denny McCarthy +6500
Tom Hoge +6500
Harris English +6500
Thomas Detry +7000
Billy Horschel +7000
Andrew Novak +7000
Mackenzie Hughes +7000
Michael Thorbjornsen +7000
Seamus Power +7500
Stephan Jaeger +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Eric Cole +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Nick Dunlap +8000
Doug Ghim +9000
Patrick Fishburn +9000
Michael Kim +9000
Nico Echavarria +9000
Mac Meissner +9000
Patrick Rodgers +9000
J.J. Spaun +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
Lucas Glover +10000
Joe Highsmith +10000
Andrew Putnam +10000
Chandler Phillips +11000
Emiliano Grillo +11000
Rico Hoey +11000
Gary Woodland +11000
Adam Svensson +11000
Max McGreevy +11000
Vince Whaley +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Nick Taylor +12000
Mark Hubbard +12000
Lee Hodges +12000
Justin Lower +12000
Taylor Moore +12000
C.T. Pan +15000
Bud Cauley +15000
Matt McCarty +15000



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