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Cowboys vs. Steelers odds, spread, line, prediction: Sunday Night Football picks by NFL model on 188-131 run

The Dallas Cowboys (2-2) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) are set to square off on Sunday Night Football. Both teams were able to make the playoffs in 2023 and look to replicate that success in 2024. Last season, the Cowboys went 12-5 and won the NFC East, while the Steelers were 10-7 and clinched a Wild Card spot. Dallas has won six of the last nine meetings against Pittsburgh. 

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Pittsburgh is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Steelers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 43.5. Before locking in any Cowboys vs. Steelers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up!

Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Steelers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and Week 5 betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Cowboys vs. Steelers:

  • Cowboys vs. Steelers spread: Dallas -2.5
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers over/under: 43.5 points
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers money line: Pittsburgh -143, Dallas +121
  • PIT: Steelers have scored last in six of their last seven games at home 
  • DAL: Cowboys have hit the 1H money line in seven of their last 11 away games
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas features one of the NFL’s most explosive passing attacks. The Cowboys are averaging 255.5 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth in the NFL. Quarterback Dak Prescott is coming off an impressive performance against the Giants, completing 81.5% of his passes for 221 yards and two touchdowns. For the season, Prescott has thrown for 1,072 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. 

Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is coming off his best performance of the season in last week’s victory over the Giants. The former Oklahoma standout hauled in seven receptions for 98 yards and a touchdown. He’s now finished with at least 90 receiving yards and a TD in two of his last three games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Steelers can cover

Quarterback Justin Fields has been starting since Week 1 and has played fairly well. Fields brings a different dynamic with his legs and is doing a great job taking care of the football. In four games this season, the 25-year-old has 830 passing yards and three passing touchdowns. He’s also added 145 rushing yards and three more scores. In his last outing, Fields finished with 312 passing yards, 55 rushing yards and three total touchdowns.

Receiver George Pickens has terrific size at 6’3 to be a threat on contested grabs. The Georgia product has the quickness to gain yards in open space while being tough to bring down. This season, he has 20 catches for 284 yards. In Week 4 against the Colts, Pickens had seven catches (11 targets) for a season-high 113 yards. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Cowboys vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. 

So who wins Steelers vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Cowboys spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.



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