The 2025 Formula 1 season kicks off on Sunday with the Australian Grand Prix at the Albert Park Circuit in suburban Melbourne, and there’s been a tectonic shift this offseason. Lewis Hamilton left Mercedes for Ferrari, setting the driver carousel in motion and leading to 10 total changes to the F1 starting grid. One driver who stayed put is McLaren’s Lando Norris, who is listed as the +185 favorite in the 2025 Australian Grand Prix odds after a strong finish to the 2024 season with a win in Abu Dhabi.
He’s followed by Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc (+400), Red Bull’s Max Verstappen (+450), teammate Oscar Piastri (+450) and Hamilton (+600) in this week’s F1 odds. The lights go out at midnight ET on Sunday in Melbourne. Before analyzing the 2025 Australian Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2025 Australian GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It’s had a strong history of betting success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc’s wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen’s win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen’s wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his first seven wins in 2024.
It also predicted Norris as a +200 winner in the Netherlands, a +190 winner in Singapore and a +250 winner in Abu Dhabi. Anyone who followed the model’s lead on those plays at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on the 2025 Formula 1 Australian Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2025 Australian Grand Prix projected leaderboard.
Top 2025 Formula 1 Australian Grand Prix predictions
One surprise: The model is predicting a top-two finish for Red Bull Racing’s Max Verstappen that would pay out +150 (risk $100 to win $150). Verstappen has won the last four world championships in a row, but he had to survive a midseason scare where Red Bull found itself struggling to catch McLaren, Ferrari and Mercedes in certain phases. However, he still managed nine wins on the season and finished 63 points clear of Norris for the title.
Now he sets his sights on a 2025 F1 season where he has a chance to match Michael Schumacher as the only driver in history to win five consecutive world titles. Verstappen won two of the last four races of the 2024 season to close out Norris and was top two in 13 of the 22 races on the Formula One schedule. He also won the 2023 Australian Grand Prix on the Albert Park Circuit. See more 2025 Australian Grand Prix picks right here.
How to make 2025 Australian Grand Prix picks
The model has revealed its win prediction and is also targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2025 Australian GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model’s F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.
So who wins the Australian Grand Prix 2025, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2025 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2025 Australian Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 26 of Verstappen’s 30 wins since the start of 2023 as well as three of Norris’s four wins last season, and find out.
2025 Formula 1 Australian Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders
See F1 Australian Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.
Lando Norris +185
Charles Leclerc +400
Oscar Piastri +450
Max Verstappen +450
Lewis Hamilton +600
George Russell +1400
Andrea Kimi Antonelli +4000
Liam Lawson +6500
Carlos Sainz +8000
Alexander Albon +8000
Pierre Gasly +15000
Fernando Alonso +15000
Yuki Tsunoda +30000
Oliver Bearman +30000
Lance Stroll +30000
Esteban Ocon +30000
Nico Hulkenberg +40000
Jack Doohan +40000
Isack Hadjar +40000
Gabriel Bortoloeto +50000
Where to bet on Formula 1 races
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on Formula 1 races, along with the various F1 sportsbook promos they currently offer.
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