NBA

Heat vs. Wizards odds, score prediction, start time: 2025 NBA picks, March 3 best bets from proven model

The Miami Heat will host the Washington Wizards for an Eastern Conference matchup on Monday night. Miami is 28-31 on the season and currently sits seventh in the East standings while Washington has the worst record in the NBA at 11-48. The Heat have won seven of their last 10 head-to-head matchups against their Southeast Division rivals and have also gone 5-3-2 against the spread during that span. Andrew Wiggins (ankle) is questionable for Miami, while Washington won’t have Jordan Poole (elbow), Malcolm Brogdon (ankle) or Saddiq Bey (ACL).

Tipoff from the Kaseya Center in Miami is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami is an 8-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Wizards odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 218. Before making any Wizards vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Washington and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Wizards vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Wizards spread: Miami -8
  • Heat vs. Wizards over/under: 218 points
  • Heat vs. Wizards money line: Miami -344, Washington +274
  • Heat vs. Wizards picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Heat vs. Wizards streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Heat can cover

Miami will have a quick turnaround on Monday night after suffering a 116-112 loss in overtime to the New York Knicks on Sunday. Bam Adebayo went 12-for-16 from the floor and finished with 30 points, seven rebounds and four assists in the defeat, but the Heat were beat 46-34 on the glass.

However, the Heat did still cover the spread as 6-point underdogs and they’ve now covered in each of their last three outings (all home games). They’ve also won six of their last seven home matchups with the Wizards and covered comfortably as 9.5-point favorites in a 118-98 win over Washington on Nov. 2. See which team to pick here.

Why the Wizards can cover

Meanwhile, Washington could have its eye towards the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes at the 2025 NBA Draft, but the Wizards have still managed to cover the spread in nine of their last 12 games despite dealing with a lengthy injury list. They’ve also won outright as underdogs in two of their last three games entering Monday night.

That includes a 113-100 win over the Charlotte Hornets on the road this past Saturday. Eight players reached double-figures in scoring for the Wizards while the team also won the rebounding battle (48-44) and the turnover battle (17-15). See which team to pick here.

How to make Heat vs. Wizards picks

The model has simulated Washington vs. Miami 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over the total, projecting 226 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Wizards vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Wizards spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games

Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on NBA games today, along with the various NBA sportsbook promos they currently offer.



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