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Lakers vs. Warriors prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2025 NBA picks, April 3 best bets from proven model

The Thursday NBA schedule features a high-profile Western Conference matchup between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors. Los Angeles is 46-29 overall and 29-9 at home, while Golden State is 44-31 overall and 21-17 on the road. The Lakers have won two straight and now hold the No. 3 seed in the West playoff race after L.A. beat Houston, 104-98, on Monday. Golden State has won three straight and now holds the No. 5 seed in the West. The Warriors beat Memphis, 134-125, in their last outing. LeBron James (groin) is listed as probable for the Lakers, while Jonathan Kuminga (pelvis) is questionable for the Warriors.

Tipoff from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles is set for 10 p.m. ET. L.A. has won each of the last three meetings between the teams, including a 120-112 home victory on Feb. 6. The Lakers are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Lakers vs. Warriors odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 229.5. Los Angeles is at -118 on the money line (risk $118 to win $100), while Golden State is at -101 (risk $101 to win $100). Before making any Warriors vs. Lakers picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 24 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 155-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 21-10 (68%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

  • Lakers vs. Warriors spread: Lakers -1.5
  • Lakers vs. Warriors over/under: 229.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -101, Los Angeles -118
  • Lakers vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Lakers vs. Warriors streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers are coming off a solid win over the Houston Rockets, who currently hold the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, on Monday. The win pushed Los Angeles to within 3.0 games of Houston in the standings. Point guard Luka Doncic scored 20 points to go with nine rebounds and six assists in the win, while Dorian Finney-Smith and Gabe Vincent each had 20 points off the bench.

Doncic and four-time NBA MVP James combine to give the Lakers one of the top duos in the NBA. Since arriving in Los Angeles via trade, Doncic is averaging 27.2 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game. James is averaging 24.4 points, 8.4 assists, and 8.1 rebounds per game this season. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors have been one of the best teams in the Western Conference since the All-Star break. Golden State has championship pedigree, and remains one of the most explosive offensive teams in the NBA. In their last game, two-time NBA MVP Stephen Curry connected on 12 3-pointers, scoring 52 points to go with 10 rebounds, eight assists, and five steals. Additionally, Draymond Green logged his first triple-double of the season with 13 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds.

Curry is putting the finishing touches on another outstanding season for Golden State. Curry enters Thursday’s matchup averaging 24.4 points, 6.1 assists, and 4.4 rebounds per game. Forward Jimmy Butler has also excelled since being acquired via trade, with per game averages of 17.5 points, 6.2 assists, and 6.1 rebounds per game with the Warriors. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Warriors vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Lakers vs. Warriors10,000 times and is leaning Under on the total, projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s NBA picks. 

So who wins Lakers vs. Warriors on Thursday, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Lakers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games

Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on NBA games today, along with the various NBA sportsbook promos they currently offer.



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