NBA

Thunder vs. Celtics odds, line, prediction, start time: 2025 NBA picks, March 12 best bets from proven model

Two of the NBA’s best teams clash when the Boston Celtics face the Oklahoma City Thunder in a possible NBA Finals preview on Wednesday night. Boston is coming off a 114-108 win over the Utah Jazz on Monday, while OKC dropped a 140-127 decision to the Denver Nuggets that same night. The Celtics (47-18), the second seed in the Eastern Conference, have won five games in a row. The Thunder (53-12), the top seed in the West, have won seven of their last eight.

Tipoff from TD Garden in Boston is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. OKC won the first meeting with Boston 105-92 on Jan. 5. The Celtics are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Celtics odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 227.5. Before making any Celtics vs. Thunder picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Celtics 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Celtics vs. Thunder:

  • Thunder vs. Celtics spread: Boston -3.5
  • Thunder vs. Celtics over/under: 227.5 points
  • Thunder vs. Celtics money line: Boston -162, OKC +137
  • OKC: The Thunder have covered the spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+17.20 units)
  • BOS: The Celtics have hit the team total under in 48 of their last 71 games (+22.05 units)     
  • Thunder vs. Celtics picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Thunder vs. Celtics streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Celtics can cover

Small forward Jayson Tatum (knee), who missed Monday’s game against Utah, is listed as questionable. He leads the team in scoring at 27.2 points per game with 60 starts. If he can’t go or is limited, shooting guard Jaylen Brown will help pick up the scoring slack. In 54 games, all starts, Brown is averaging 23.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.3 steals in 35.4 minutes.

Point guard Derrick White is one of six Celtics players averaging double-figure scoring. He registered a double-double in Monday’s win over the Jazz. In 36 minutes of action, he scored 18 points, dished out 10 assists, grabbed five rebounds and blocked three shots. He scored 41 points and added three rebounds, three steals and two assists in a 128-118 win over Portland on March 5. In 62 games, all starts, he is averaging 16.6 points, 4.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds in 33.7 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Thunder can cover

Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on a roll of late. He has scored 25 or more points in each of the last nine games, including a 51-point, seven-assist and five-rebound performance in a 137-128 win over the Houston Rockets on March 3. He scored 40 points, grabbed eight rebounds, dished out five assists and blocked three shots in a 127-103 win over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. In 63 games, all starts, he is averaging 32.7 points, 6.2 assists, 5.1 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 1.1 blocks in 34.3 minutes.

Also powering the Thunder is power forward Chet Holmgren. He has registered two double-doubles over the past five games, including a 22-point and 17-rebound effort in a 129-121 win over the Brooklyn Nets on Feb. 26. He scored 14 points and added eight rebounds and four blocks in the win over the Nuggets on Sunday. In 20 games, all starts, he is averaging 14.6 points, 8.3 rebounds, 2.8 blocks and 1.9 assists in 26.5 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Thunder vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Celtics vs. Thunder 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 227 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks. 

So who wins Thunder vs. Celtics on Wednesday, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out. 

Where to bet on NBA games

Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on NBA games today, along with the various NBA sportsbook promos they currently offer.



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