The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Minnesota Timberwolves in the second half of a home-and-home on Monday. Oklahoma City is 46-10 overall and 25-3 at home, while Minnesota is 31-27 overall and 15-13 on the road. The Thunder have won two of their three matchups this season, most recently defeating the Timberwolves, 130-123, in Minnesota on Sunday.
Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. The Thunder are favored by 12 points in the latest Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds, according to the SportsLine consensus. The over/under is 228 points. Before entering any Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Thunder:
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves spread: Thunder -12
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves over/under: 228 points
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves money line: Thunder -694, Timberwolves +496
- MIN: The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) as an away underdog this season
- OKC: The Thunder are 4-2 ATS over their last six games when favored by at least 10 points
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Timberwolves can cover
The Timberwolves were competitive against the top seed in the Western Conference on Sunday and even held a 63-61 halftime lead despite playing without Julius Randle (groin) and Rudy Gobert (back). Both are day-to-day going forward. Anthony Edwards finished with 29 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NBA Draft is fourth in the league in scoring at 27.7 ppg. Edwards, in his fifth NBA season, is averaging a career-high in points as one of the most dynamic players in the league.
Minnesota has the fifth-best scoring defense (108.7 ppg) this season while holding teams to 45.8% from the field, which ranks eighth. The Timberwolves are stingy both inside and outside the arc, ranking eighth in field-goal percentage in both 2-point and 3-point shots, as teams are making just 12.6 triples per game against Minnesota, the third-least in the league. The Thunder made 12 3-pointers on Sunday and the Timberwolves can cover the number with another stout defensive performance. See which team to pick here.
Why the Thunder can cover
The Thunder have the MVP favorite in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has led Oklahoma City to the best record in the Western Conference. The 26-year-old guard leads the NBA in scoring at 32.3 ppg and had 37 points, eight rebounds and eight assists against the Timberwolves on Sunday. With Randle and Gobert likely out again on Monday, Gilgeous-Alexander should have an easier time finding opportunities to create for himself and his teammates coming off scoring 130 points as a team on Sunday.
Oklahoma City has the No. 5 scoring offense (117.6 ppg) and No. 1 scoring defense (105.1 ppg) in the league this season. The Thunder are 9-1 over their last 10 games with eight of their nine wins coming by at least 12 points. They have the No. 1 point differential (+12.5 ppg) in the league this season and are always capable of a runaway victory. See which team to pick here.
How to make Thunder vs. Timberwolves picks
The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, projecting 219 combined points, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Thunder vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-106 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.
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