Ranked flyweight fighters clash when second-ranked Brandon Moreno of Mexico battles eighth-ranked Steve Erceg of Australia on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg on Saturday. UFC returns to Mexico with the event being held at Mexico City Arena in Mexico City. The preliminary UFC fight card is expected to get underway around 4 p.m. ET, with the main card starting around 7 p.m. ET. Moreno is a former two-time UFC flyweight champion, while Erceg is a two-time Performance of the Night winner.
Moreno is a -260 favorite (risk $260 to win $100), while Erceg is priced at +210 (risk $100 to win $210) in the latest UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg odds. Also on the main card, lightweight fighters take the spotlight when Manuel Torres (-115) takes on Drew Dober (-105). Before making any UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg picks, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani.
Vithlani is a highly-analytical UFC bettor who has been a consistent winner for SportsLine members since making his debut in January 2023 with a 5-0 record for UFC 283. In fact, he’s up over $1,500 on his UFC main-card sports betting picks.
Now, Vithlani has studied Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg from every angle and revealed his top betting picks and best bets.
Moreno vs. Erceg preview
Moreno, 31, snapped a two-bout losing streak in his last outing. At UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi, Moreno earned a unanimous decision victory over Amir Albazi this past November. He was coming off back-to-back losses by split decision, including a loss to Brandon Royval in Mexico City in February 2024. He lost the UFC flyweight title in a split decision to Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 290 in July 2023.
He began his professional career in April 2011, losing three of his first six bouts. He responded by winning his next eight matchups before catching the eye of UFC. In 32 career matches, he has compiled a 22-8-2 mark. He has won five fights by knockout, 11 by submission and six by decision. Check out SportsLine to see his picks and analysis.
Erceg, 29, has fought professionally since making his flyweight debut on Feb. 12, 2016, in Perth, Australia. He earned a win by submission over Ryan Robertson at the CDL Super Card. Erceg proceeded to win nine of his first 10 bouts, before making his UFC debut in June 2023 at UFC 289. In that matchup, he earned a unanimous decision victory over David Dvorak and Performance of the Night honors.
He is coming off two consecutive losses, but has compiled a 12-3 career record. He has two wins by knockout, six by submission and four by decision. In 2023, he was named the UFC.com Newcomer of the Year. He is also a former Eternal MMA flyweight champ. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg predictions
We’ll reveal one of Vithlani’s UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg selections here: Julia Polastri (+185) to defeat Lupita Godinez (-225) in a women’s strawweight matchup on the preliminary card.
“Polastri’s physicality could help her win the battle in the clinch. I think this fight will play out much closer than the odds suggest,” Vithlani told SportsLine. Polastri by points is +270 at FanDuel Sportsbook. See who else to back here.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg main fight card, odds
Vithlani has strong picks for Moreno vs. Erceg and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg card. He’s also backing a fighter whose renowned durability will be the difference in a big win. He’s sharing who it is only at SportsLine.
Who wins UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg, and how exactly does the fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks and analysis from the incomparable expert who is up over $1,500 on his UFC main-card picks, and find out.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg main fight card, odds
Brandon Moreno (-260) vs. Steve Erceg (+210)
Manuel Torres (-115) vs. Drew Dober (-105)
Kelvin Gastelum (+240) vs. Joe Pyfer (-300)
David Martinez (-500) vs. Saimon Oliveira (+380)
Raul Rosas (-500) vs. Vince Morales (+380)
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