The Golden State Warriors will look to get back on track when they battle the Miami Heat in a key interconference matchup on Tuesday night. Golden State is coming off a 124-115 loss at Atlanta on Saturday, while Miami snapped a 10-game losing streak with a 122-105 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday. The Warriors (41-30), who are 19-10 against Eastern Conference foes, are 18-16 on the road this season. The Heat (30-41), who are 11-16 against the West, are 16-19 at home in 2024-25. Point guard Stephen Curry (pelvis) has rejoined the team but his status remains questionable.
Tipoff from Kaseya Center in Miami is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami won the only meeting between the teams this season, a 114-98 victory in San Francisco on Jan. 7. The Warriors are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Heat odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 218. Before making any Heat vs. Warriors picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 153-113 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 20-10 (67%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Heat 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Heat spread: Golden State -4.5
- Warriors vs. Heat over/under: 218 points
- Warriors vs. Heat money line: Golden State -203, Miami +169
- GS: The Warriors have hit the team total under in 35 of their last 59 games (+7.65 units)
- MIA: The Heat are 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games
- Warriors vs. Heat picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Warriors vs. Heat streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Warriors can cover
Whether or not Curry plays, small forward Jimmy Butler is ready to pick up the scoring slack as he gears up to face his old Heat teammates. He registered a triple-double with 16 points, 12 assists and 11 rebounds in a 117-114 win over Toronto on Thursday. He had 25 points, eight assists and four rebounds in Saturday’s loss to the Hawks. In 44 games this season, including 19 as a member of the Warriors, he is averaging 17.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, 5.5 assists and 1.2 steals in 31.5 minutes.
Power forward Jonathan Kuminga has been on a roll of late. In 38 games, including 10 starts, he is averaging 16.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists in 25.6 minutes. He scored 16 points, grabbed two rebounds and dished out two assists in the loss to Atlanta. He had 16 points, four rebounds and three assists in Thursday’s win over Toronto. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Heat can cover
Point guard Tyler Herro has reached double-figure scoring in three of the past four games. He poured in 29 points, while grabbing six boards, dishing out three assists and making three steals in the win over Hornets on Sunday. He had 29 points, four rebounds and three assists in a 116-113 loss to the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. In 68 games, all starts, he is averaging 23.5 points, 5.6 assists and 5.3 rebounds in 35.6 minutes.
Small forward Andrew Wiggins, who was acquired last month from Golden State, has been on fire of late. He scored 42 points, while adding five assists, three rebounds and two steals in the win over Charlotte on Sunday. In a 102-98 loss to the Houston Rockets on Friday, he scored 30 points with three assists and two rebounds. In 56 games this season, including 13 with Miami, he is averaging 18.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and one steal in 30.9 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Warriors vs. Heat picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Heat vs. Warriors 10,000 times and is leaning Over the total, projecting 228 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Heat vs. Warriors on Tuesday, and which side of the spread cashes in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Heat spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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