Atlanta took game two of the series, 4-0, behind a two-run homer by Matt Olson in the eighth inning to put the game out of reach. The current series is tied at one-apiece, but the Mets are 7-5 versus Atlanta this season and outscored the Braves, 62-58 in those 12 games.
After winning eight-straight games, Atlanta has gone 2-3 over the next five games versus the Yankees and Mets. Atlanta is 7-3 on the month and rank third in ERA (2.68), lead the league in OBA (.194), and fourth-best WHIP (1.11). The offense has been backed by homers. Atlanta has 16 homers, which is the third-best and they’ve scored the 10th-most runs (48) in August.
New York is 6-4 to start August, including a 6-2 record on this current nine-game road trip. The Mets rank top 10 in batting average (.259), home runs (15), runs scored (52), SLG (.447), and OPS (.778). On the year, the Mets have been a bottom-10 offense, so this is an impressive stretch for New York, especially without Juan Soto.
Let’s dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Mets at Braves
- Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM EST
- Site: Truist Park
- City: Atlanta, GA
- Network/Streaming: MLB TV
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Odds for the Mets at the Braves
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
- Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (-174), New York Mets (+161)
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (+114), Mets +1.5 (-137)
- Total: 8.5
Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Braves
- Wednesday’s pitching matchup (August 12): Zac Thornton vs Tyler Mahle
- Mets: Zac Thornton
2026 stats: 39.1 IP, 3-2, 2.52 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 27 K, 12 BB
2026 Stats: 100.2 IP, 3-9, 4.83 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 98 K, 39 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not
- Matt Olson is hitting .297 in August (11/37) with six home runs
- Austin Riley is hitting .303 in August (10/33)
- Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .238 in August (10/42)
- Bo Bichette is hitting .325 in August (13/40)
- Francisco Lindor is hitting .293 in August (12/41)
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Braves
- Atlanta is 65-55 ATS, ranking sixth-best
- New York is 57-64 ATS, ranking eighth-worst
- Atlanta is 58-56-6 to the Under
- New York is 57-54-10 to the Under
- Atlanta is 34-27 ATS at home, ranking fourth-best
- New York is 29-33 ATS on the road, ranking seventh-worst
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Mets and the Braves
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Mets and the Braves:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Braves on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Braves at -1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 8.5
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