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Cubs vs Mets Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for June 25

The Cubs (43-37) are gong for the road sweep over the Mets (34-46) as Matthew Boyd and Freddy Peralta headline the series finale. Chicago won Wednesday’s double-header 10-3 and 10-5, plus Monday’s series opener, 9-6.

Of the 20 runs scored for the Cubs yesterday, Dansby Swanson recorded five hits for 11 RBI on two homers, one triple, and two singles. Chicago has now outscored New York, 29-14 in the three games so far and Swanson has 15 RBI (7 H, 3 HR).

The Mets have lost five straight games and the pitching staff has fallen apart in that span. Over the last week (six games), the Mets have a 7.96 ERA (last), .284 OBA (25th), a .170 WHIP (28th), and 44 earned runs (last). Since May, the Mets have won six out of nine Peralta starts after starting the year 2-5.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Cubs at Mets

  • Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM EST
  • Site: Citi Field
  • City: Flushing, NY
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Cubs at the Mets

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: Chicago Cubs (-112), New York Mets (-108)
  • Spread: Mets +1.5 (-188), Cubs -1.5 (+154)
  • Total: 8.5

Probable starting pitchers for Cubs at Mets

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (June 25): Matthew Boyd vs. Freddy Peralta
  • Cubs: Matthew Boyd

2026 stats: 24.0 IP, 2-1, 6.00 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 31 Ks, 6 BB

2026 Stats: 85.2 IP, 5-6, 4.83 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 83 Ks, 34 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Cubs’ Pete Crow-Armstrong is hitting .285 with 86 hits, 17 home runs and 44 RBI over 302 at-bats
  • The Cubs’ Ian Happ is hitting .229 with 65 hits and 104 strikeouts over 284 at-bats
  • The Mets’ Juan Soto is hitting .299 with 66 hits, 17 home runs, and 38 RBI over 221 at-bats
  • The Mets’ Marcus Semien is hitting .214 with 62 hits and 68 strikeouts over 290 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Cubs at Mets

  • The Cubs are an 32-48 ATS, ranking tied for fourth-worst
  • The Mets are 32-48 ATS, ranking tied for fourth-worst
  • The Cubs are 43-36-1 to the Over, ranking eighth-best
  • The Mets are 37-35-8 to the Over
  • The Cubs are 18-22 ATS on the road, ranking ninth-worst
  • The Mets are 15-24 ATS at home, ranking sixth-worst

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Cubs and the Mets

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday’s game between the Cubs and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Mets on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Mets at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 8.5

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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