MLB

Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 29

The Miami Marlins (26-31) and New York Mets (23-33) meet for the first time all season. The two are set for a three-game weekend series at Citi Field.

New York snapped a five-game losing steak on Wednesday with a 4-2 win over Cincinnati. New York is 2-7 over their last nine games, but they have Freddy Peralta on the mound, which has resulted in three wins over his last four starts.

Miami turns to Max Meyer tonight, which is the hot hand for the Marlins. Miami has won five straight with Meyer on the mound outscoring their opponents 33-9. Lately, Miami lost two straight, which broke up a season-long four-game winning streak.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Marlins at Mets

  • Date: Friday, May 29, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM EST
  • Site: Citi Field
  • City: Flushing, NY
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Marlins at the Mets

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Moneyline: New York Mets (-115), Miami Marlins (-105)
  • Spread: Mets +1.5 (-185), Marlins -1.5 (+152)
  • Total: 7.5

Probable starting pitchers for Marlins at Mets

  • Friday’s pitching matchup (May 29): Max Meyer vs. Freddy Peralta
  • Mets: Max Meyer

2026 stats: 60.2 IP, 5-0, 2.52 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 68 Ks, 22 BB

2026 Stats: 61.1 IP, 3-4, 3.52 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 63 Ks, 27 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Mets’ Juan Soto is hitting .301 with 43 hits and 83 total bases over 143 at-bats
  • The Mets’ Bo Bichette is hitting .225 with 51 hits and 42 strikeouts over 227 at-bats
  • The Marlins’ Otto Lopez is hitting .342 with 75 hits and 105 total bases over 219 at-bats
  • The Marlins’ Kyle Stowers is hitting .211 with 26 hits and 38 strikeouts over 123 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Marlins at Mets

  • The Mets are 21-35 ATS, ranking second-worst
  • The Marlins are 26-31 ATS, ranking ninth-worst
  • The Mets are 29-23-2 to the Under, ranking seventh-best
  • The Marlins are 34-21-2 to the Over, ranking second-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Marlins and the Mets

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Marlins and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Mets on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Mets at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 7.5

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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