The Boston Red Sox (72-59) and the Miami Marlins (67-65) continue their respective postseason pushes tonight when they take the field at loanDepot Park in Miami. The Red Sox won the series opener last night, 4-2, to stay within six games of first place Tampa Bay in the AL East and further strengthen their hold on the second Wild Card spot in the American League. Miami is third in the NL East at 67-65 but they remain 9.5 games behind the Braves in the division race and four back of the final Wild Card spot in the National League.
Last night’s game remained tight throughout primarily because Boston managed just a single hit in 14 at bats with runners in scoring position. Miami struck first in the second inning when Otto Lopez drove home Jakob Marsee with a sacrifice fly, giving the Marlins a 1-0 lead. Boston answered in the fifth when Jarren Duran doubled and later scored on Mickey Gasper’s RBI double to tie the game. The Marlins regained the lead in the seventh on Xavier Edwards’ RBI single, but once again, Boston answered. Wilyer Abreu doubled in the eighth and eventually scored on a wild pitch, knotting the game at 2-2. The game was decided in the ninth. Anthony Seigler, who entered the game with only 12 RBIs on the season, delivered the biggest hit of the night, lining a go-ahead RBI triple to right field. Nick Sogard followed with an RBI single to provide an insurance run and give Boston a 4-2 advantage. Aroldis Chapman closed the door for his 30th save of the campaign. The Sox have now won four in a row.
Rookie Payton Tolle (8-6, 3.08 ERA) gets the ball today for the Sox. The southpaw takes the mound after six days of rest. In four August starts, Tolle has allowed six earned runs (25 innings pitched). Boston lost against the Diamondbacks in his last start (5 IP, 3ER) after wining in his seven previous starts. Tyler Phillips (3-6, 3.67 ERA) will be on the bump for Miami. The righthander gave up one run in two innings in Philadelphia last Tuesday after giving up four in 5.1 innings in his previous outing. The Marlins have lost his last three starts.
Lets dive further into today’s game and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Red Sox vs. Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Time: 6:40PM EST
- Site: loanDepot Park
- City: Miami, FL
- Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, NESN, Marlins.TV
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The Latest Odds: Red Sox vs. Marlins
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (-158), Miami Marlins (+147)
- Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+104), Marlins+1.5 (-126)
- Total: 7.5 runs
Probable Starting Pitchers – Red Sox vs. Marlins for August 25
- Red Sox: Payton Tolle
Season Totals: 120.0 IP, 8-6, 3.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 134K, 33 BB - Marlins: Tyler Phillips
Season Totals: 100.2 IP, 3-6, 3.67 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 79K, 42 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Red Sox vs. Marlins
- Eli White is 1-4 including 1 HR in his career against Tyler Phillips
- Willson Contreras is 0-8 over his last 2 games
- Ceddanne Rafaela is riding a modest 4-game hitting streak (7-17)
- Nick Sogard is riding a 7-game hitting streak (12-27)
- Adley Rutschman is 0-10 over his last 3 games
- Otto Lopez went 2-4 last night and has hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games
- Kelly Stowers has hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games (8-19)
- Xavier Edwards has hit safely in 3 straight (3-13) and 9 of his last 10 games (12-39)
Top Betting Trends & Insights: Red Sox vs. Marlins
- The Marlins are 66-66 on the Run Line this season
- The Red Sox are 64-67 on the Run Line this season
- The OVER has cashed 63 times in Miami’s 132 games this season (63-65-4)
- The OVER has cashed 59 times in Boston’s 131 games this season (61-66-4)
Why Monken is starting Watson over Shedeur
Mike Florio and Chris Simms break down the Browns’ decision to start Deshaun Watson over Shedeur Sanders in Week 1, analyzing the multiple factors at play in the controversial call.
Expert picks & predictions: Red Sox vs. Marlins for August 25
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Marlins and the Red Sox:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Red Sox on the Run Line.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 7.5
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