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Mets vs Reds Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for June 17

The Reds (35-37) clinched a series victory over the Mets (32-41) with a 5-3 win on Tuesday. Cincinnati has now won three of their last four games, while New York has lost three of the past four.

Sal Stewart brought in four runs yesterday, including a three-run homer to seal the win for the Reds. Cincinnati started June 1-6, but has gone 4-3 since then. In the last week, the Reds are hitting just .216 (T-25th), but have the fifth-most home runs (12) as they have relied on power. In the last six games, the pitching rotation has heated up with the second-best 2.52 ERA and fifth-best OBA (.220).

Kodai Senga‘s return was ruined as the Mets lost their fourth straight game with him on the mound. New York is 6-8 in June and has had three two-game losing streaks already. In June, the Mets have a 4.56 ERA (20th) and that’s dropped to a 5.75 ERA over the last seven games (27th). Nolan McLean takes the mound for New York in the series finale and the Mets have gone 2-4 in his six road starts.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Mets at Reds

  • Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:40 PM EST
  • Site: Great American Ball Park
  • City: Cincinatti, OH
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Mets at the Reds

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: New York Mets (-136), Cincinnati Reds (+113)
  • Spread: Reds +1.5 (-149), Mets -1.5 (+123)
  • Total: 9.0

Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Reds

  • Wednesday’s pitching matchup (June 17): Nolan McLean vs. Nick Lodolo
  • Reds: Nick Lodolo

2026 stats: 38.0 IP, 2-1, 5.21 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 30 Ks, 15 BB

2026 Stats: 76.1 IP, 3-4, 4.01 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 88 Ks, 31 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Mets’ Juan Soto is hitting .289 with 59 hits, 15 home runs and 34 RBI over 204 at-bats
  • The Mets’ Marcus Semien is hitting .217 with 57 hits and 62 strikeouts over 263 at-bats
  • The Reds’ JJ Bleday is hitting .268 with 44 hits, 13 home runs, and 34 RBI over 164 at-bats
  • The Reds’ Will Benson is hitting .188 with 18 hits and 38 strikeouts over 96 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Reds

  • The Mets are 30-43 ATS, ranking sixth-worst
  • The Reds are 39-33 ATS, ranking ninth-best
  • The Reds are 43-28-1 to the Over, ranking fourth-best
  • The Mets are 35-32-6 to the Under
  • The Reds are 18-19 ATS at home
  • The Mets are 15-22 ATS on the road, ranking sixth-worst

Expert picks & predictions for today’s game between the Mets and the Reds

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Reds and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Mets on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Mets at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.0

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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