Two of the hottest teams in baseball open a three-game series tonight at Fenway Park as the Red Sox (50-48) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (49-51) to town.
Boston enters the matchup riding a franchise-best 13-game winning streak, while Baltimore arrives having won seven straight games and fresh off consecutive series sweeps. The season series between these teams is tied at three games apiece, adding even more importance to a matchup with significant Wild Card, if not suddenly AL East, implications.
The Red Sox finished off a sweep of AL East-leading Tampa Bay yesterday and have now gone a couple weeks since their last loss. Boston’s run differential is +40 over the course of their winning streak. The result, they are now just six games behind Tampa in the division. Of late, Baltimore has been nearly as impressive. The Orioles swept Houston this past weekend and have won seven consecutive games, going 7-3 in their last 10. Elite pitching has been the difference for the O’s with the staff posting a stellar 2.97 ERA over that span. Baltimore is now within eight games of first in the AL East and within two games of the final wild card spot.
Shane Baz takes the mound for Baltimore with a record of 4-9 with a 4.19 ERA. The right hander has recorded quality starts in three of his last five outings but is without a win since June 12. The right-hander has shown swing-and-miss stuff all season but run support and consistency have been issues. The Red Sox will counter with Payton Tolle who carries a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 3.11 to the bump. Tolle enters Monday with a full week of rest after the Red Sox shortened his July 12 outing for workload management purposes.
Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Orioles vs. Red Sox
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 7:10PM EST
- Site: Fenway Park
- City: Boston, MA
- Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, MASN, NESN
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The Latest Odds: Orioles vs. Red Sox
The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles (+134), Boston Red Sox (-162),
- Spread: Orioles +1.5 (-163), Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
- Total: 9.0 runs
Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Orioles vs. Red Sox for July 20
- Rays: Shane Baz
Season Totals: 111.2 IP, 4-9, 4.19 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 99K, 42 BB - Red Sox: Payton Tolle
Season Totals: 84.0 IP, 5-6, 3.11 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 87K, 25 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Orioles vs. Red Sox
- Willson Contreras is hitting .294 with 11 RBIs over his last 10 games
- Wilyer Abreu has 10 hits in his last 10 games including 5 HRs
- Cedanne Rafaella was 5-17 in the 4-game series against the Rays this past weekend.
- Masataka Yoshida is 10-27 (.370) in July
- Pete Alonso was 2-9 in the recently-concluded series against Houston
- Taylor Ward was just 1-9 in the Sox ‘ series against Houston.
- Adley Rutschman is 1-11 over his four games
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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Orioles vs. Red Sox
- The Orioles are 50-50 on the Run Line this season
- The Red Sox are 47-51 on the Run Line this season
- The OVER has cashed 52 times in Baltimore’s 100 games this season (52-45-3)
- The OVER has cashed 44 times in Boston’s 98 games this season (44-50-4)
HLs: White Sox take series against Blue Jays
Fueled by the long ball and Sean Burke’s continued success on the mound, the White Sox took down Trey Yesavage and the Blue Jays in Toronto to come away with the series win.
Expert picks & predictions: Orioles vs. Red Sox
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model for tonight’s game between the Orioles and the Red Sox:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Orioles on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Red Sox on the Run Line.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total OVER 9.0.
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