MLB

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 4

Arizona (60-53) won the series opener versus San Diego (58-55), 5-1. The Diamondbacks are now up 4-3 for the season series over the Padres and Arizona is now tied for the final spot in the NL Wild Card.

The Diamondbacks are 5-1 over the last six games and scored at least four runs in four of those six. In the past five games, Arizona has a 2.86 ERA (7th) and 1.14 WHIP (8th) as a pitching rotation, plus the 10th-most runs scored in that span (23). The Diamondbacks are 2.0 games up over the Padres in the standings entering today’s game.

San Diego’s 1-4 hitters went 0-for-15 with one walk in yesterday’s loss to Arizona. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for the Padres. Over the last 10 games, San Diego is 8-2 and scored at least four runs in seven of those contests. The Padres are hitting .257 (8th) as a group in the last week and a 3.23 ERA (10th).

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Padres at Diamondbacks

  • Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM EST
  • Site: Chase Field
  • City: Phoenix, AZ
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV / ESPN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Padres at the Diamondbacks

The latest odds as of Tuesday:

  • Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+102), Arizona Diamondbacks (-123)
  • Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+162), Padres +1.5 (-198)
  • Total: 9.0

Probable starting pitchers for Padres at Diamondbacks

  • Tuesday’s pitching matchup (July 23): Randy Vasquez vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  • Diamondbacks: Eduardo Rodriguez

2026 stats: 130.2 IP, 10-3, 2.48 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 88 K, 45 BB

2026 Stats: 95.0 IP, 6-6, 4.45 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 64 K, 30 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Diamondbacks’ Gabriel Moreno is hitting .298 with 89 hits, 8 home runs and 47 RBI over 299 at-bats
  • The Diamondbacks’ Tim Tawa is hitting .224 with 32 hits and 35 strikeouts over 143 at-bats
  • The Padres’ Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .280 with 122 hits, 8 home runs, and 49 RBI over 435 at-bats
  • The Padres’ Jake Croneworth is hitting .210 with 42 hits and 51 strikeouts over 200 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Diamondbacks

  • San Diego is 61-52 ATS, ranking tied for sixth-best
  • Arizona is 61-52 ATS, ranking tied for sixth-best
  • San Diego is 61-51-1 to the Under, ranking eighth-best
  • Arizona is 60-47-6 to the Under, ranking second-best
  • San Diego is 30-24 ATS on the road, ranking fourth-best
  • Arizona is 29-23 ATS at home, ranking fourth-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Diamondbacks at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.0

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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