San Diego (59-55) erupted in a 9-4 win over Arizona (60-54) thanks to Manny Machado’s four RBI performance. The Padres tied up the season series at four games apiece and continued their winnings ways stretching their record to 9-2 over the past 11 games.
Arizona has been hot too, going 5-2 over the past seven games and 11-7 to start the second half of the year. The Diamondbacks have scored the second-most runs in the previous 14 days (76) and 13 games. Arizona’s offense is hitting .271 (5th) with the fourth-most doubles (24) and second-most walks (51).
The Padres are hitting .286 to start July (7th) with the sixth-most runs scored (21) despite only two of those runs coming on homers (T-22nd). San Diego has the second-best batting average over the past 14 days and 13 games (.288) and the fifth-most runs (67). The Padres are one game back of the final NL Wild Card spot, which is owned by the Diamondbacks.
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Padres at Diamondbacks
- Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM EST
- Site: Chase Field
- City: Phoenix, AZ
- Network/Streaming: MLB TV / ESPN
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Odds for the Padres at the Diamondbacks
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
- Moneyline: San Diego Padres (-119), Arizona Diamondbacks (+112)
- Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156), Padres -1.5 (+129)
- Total: 8.5
Probable starting pitchers for Padres at Diamondbacks
- Wednesday’s pitching matchup (August 5): Casey Mize vs Micah Bratt
- Diamondbacks: Micah Bratt
2026 stats: 20.2 IP, 0-1, 5.23 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 12 K, 15 BB
2026 Stats: 86.2 IP, 4-6, 2.70 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 85 K, 19 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not
- The Diamondbacks’ Gabriel Moreno is hitting .298 with 89 hits, 8 home runs and 47 RBI over 299 at-bats
- The Diamondbacks’ Tim Tawa is hitting .218 with 32 hits and 35 strikeouts over 147 at-bats
- The Padres’ Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .280 with 123 hits, 8 home runs, and 49 RBI over 439 at-bats
- The Padres’ Jake Croneworth is hitting .220 with 45 hits and 51 strikeouts over 205 at-bats
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Diamondbacks
- San Diego is 62-52 ATS, ranking fourth-best
- Arizona is 61-53 ATS, ranking tied for seventh-best
- San Diego is 61-52-1 to the Under, ranking eighth-best
- Arizona is 60-48-6 to the Under, ranking fourth-best
- San Diego is 31-24 ATS on the road, ranking third-best
- Arizona is 29-24 ATS at home, ranking fourth-best
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Diamondbacks at +1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 8.5
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