MLB

Phillies vs Nationals prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 4

Philadelphia (60-53) stormed back from a 3-0 deficit against Washington (55-59) fueled by a Derek Hill grand slam in the seventh inning and capped off by a two-run Bryce Harper home run in the eighth inning.

Washington has now lost six straight games and seven of the past eight. The Nationals have scored three or fewer runs in six of the previous eight games and are hitting .186 over the past seven days and six games (26th). Washington’s offense has scored 16 runs in the six-game losing streak with 36 hits and 45 strikeouts.

Philadelphia is tied for the final spot in the Wild Card with Arizona and are 5.5 games ahead of Washington. The Phillies are on a three-game winning streak and have outscored opponents, 19-3 in that span. Philadelphia had a two-game streak of holding opponents scoreless as they’ve opened August with a 1.17 ERA (3rd) and a .163 OBA (3rd).

Let’s dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game Details and How to Watch: Nationals vs. Phillies

  • Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM EST
  • Site: Citizens Bank
  • City: Philadelphia, PA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Nationals.TV, NBC Sports Philadelphia

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

The Latest Odds: Nationals vs. Phillies

The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Washington Nationals (+221), Philadelphia Phillies (-276)
  • Spread: Nationals +1.5 (+102), Phillies -1.5 (-123)
  • Total: 9.0 runs

Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Nationals vs. Phillies for August 4

· Nationals: Zack Littell

Season Totals: 105.2 IP, 7-8, 4.94 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 68 K, 34 BB

· Phillies: Jesus Luzardo

Season Totals: 128.2 IP, 9-5, 3.57 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 157 K, 41 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Nationals vs. Phillies

· Dylan Crews has collected 12 hits over his last 10 games

· Trea Turner is 12-46 with 2 HRs over his last 11 games

· Luis Arraez has one hit over his last 12 at-bats

· Bryce Harper has hit safely in 8 straight games (9-30)

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Nationals vs. Phillies

  • The Nationals are 66-48 on the Run Line this season
  • The Phillies are an NL-worst 45-68 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 62 times in Washington’s 114 games this season (62-47-5)
  • The OVER has cashed 48 times in the Phillies’ 113 games this season (48-59-6)

Expert picks & predictions: Nationals vs. Phillies

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Nationals and the Phillies:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Nationals on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total UNDER 9.0.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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