The Phillies (51-41) won the series opener versus Cincinnati (41-49), 4-1. The Reds as a team struck out 18 times with three walks and five hits, while the Phillies had eight hits, including Kyle Schwarber‘s MLB-leading 31st home run.
Chase Burns makes his final start before the All-Star break with the Reds. Burns has been spectacular in the first half of the year with a 10-1 record, 2.40 ERA, and 116 strikeouts to 31 walks. The Reds have won five straight games and nine out of the past 10 when Burns is on the mound. Overall, the Reds’ bats are going cold during a 3-7 stretch over the last 10 games.
Philadelphia has started July with a 3-3 record behind some rocky pitching performances, excluding yesterday’s of course. After losing 15-1 to the Royals on Monday, the Phillies bounced back with a much-needed win. The Phillies have a 5.88 ERA in that six-game span (23rd) and opponents are hitting .306 (29th), while boasting the most strikeouts (71).
Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Phillies at Reds
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM EST
- Site: Great American Ball Park
- City: Cincinnati, OH
- Network/Streaming: ESPN
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Odds for the Phillies at the Reds
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
- Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds (-143), Philadelphia Phillies (+119)
- Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-175), Reds -1.5 (+144)
- Total: 9.0
Probable starting pitchers for Phillies at Reds
- Wednesday’s pitching matchup (July 8): Chase Burns vs. TBA
- Reds: Chase Burns
2026 stats: 97.2 IP, 10-1, 2.40 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 116 K, 31 BB
2026 Stats:
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not
- The Phillies’ Brandon Marsh is hitting .305 with 98 hits, 15 home runs and 46 RBI over 321 at-bats
- The Phillies’ JT Realmuto is hitting .200 with 43 hits and 50 strikeouts over 215 at-bats
- The Reds’ Elly De La Cruz is hitting .270 with 76 hits, 13 home runs, and 41 RBI over 282 at-bats
- The Reds’ Matt McLain is hitting .190 with 51 hits and 83 strikeouts over 268 at-bats
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies at Reds
- The Reds are 47-43 ATS
- The Phillies are an MLB-worst 35-57 ATS
- The Reds are 51-38-1 to the Over, ranking fifth-best
- The Phillies are 48-39-5 to the Under, ranking fourth-best
- The Reds are 21-24 ATS at home
- The Phillies are an MLB-worst 18-28 ATS on the road
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Reds and the Phillies
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Reds and the Phillies:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Reds on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Reds at -1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.0
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