The Philadelphia Phillies (52-42) close out the first half of their season with a three-game series at Comerica Park tonight against the Detroit Tigers (43-50).
The Phillies arrive in Detroit after taking two of three in Cincinnati against the Reds including yesterday’s finale. Jesús Luzardo was dominant last night, striking out 11 over seven scoreless innings, and Philadelphia won 1-0, scratching across the game’s lone run in the eighth inning on a Justin Crawford single that scored pinch runner Derek Hill. The win keeps the Phillies tied for second in the NL East with the Marlins, three games behind the Atlanta Braves.
Detroit also enters the weekend with a little momentum pushing their current winning streak to five following a sweep of the A’s. Yesterday they knocked off the Athletics, 4-1. Framber Valdez was elite allowing just three hits and a single run while striking out nine over seven innings. Zach McKinstry, Eduardo Valencia, and Jake Rogers each went yard for the Tigers to account for their offense in the series finale. Detroit outscored the A’s 16-4 in the series and have now won eight of their last ten to pull within 4.5 games of first in the AL Central and 3.5 of the final Wild Card spot.
Tonight’s pitching matchup features right-handers Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) and Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA). The veteran Nola is the weak link on Philly’s elite staff. His numbers are disappointing to date this season, but his most recent outing offers hope. On July 5 in Kansas City, Nola worked seven innings, allowing three runs on seven hits while striking out seven and walking none. He threw 98 pitches and completed seven innings for the first time since September of last season. After a dreadful first couple of months this season, Flaherty has been good. Since June 1, he has thrown 23.2 innings over five starts and allowed just five earned runs. Yes, the Tigers need more length from him, but the production has been really good for the last near six weeks. Flaherty’s most recent start came on July 4 against Texas, when he turned in 5.2 scoreless innings, allowing just three hits while striking out five and walking none in a 3-0 Tigers victory.
Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Phillies vs. Tigers
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 6:40PM EST
- Site: Comerica Park
- City: Detroit, MI
- Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, NBC Sports Philadelphia, Tigers.TV
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The Latest Odds: Phillies vs. Tigers
The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies (+104), Detroit Tigers (-125)
- Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-194), Tigers -1.5 (+159)
- Total: 9.0 runs
Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Phillies vs. Tigers for July 10
- Phillies: Aaron Nola
Season Totals: 92.0 IP, 3-6, 5.87 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 94K, 29 BB - Tigers: Jack Flaherty
Season Totals: 76.1 IP, 2-8, 4.60 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 92K, 37 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Phillies vs. Tigers
- Matt Vierling is 4-11 (.364) in his career against Jesus Luzardo
- Kyle Schwarber is 2-26 (.077) in his career against Jack Flaherty
- Trea Turner is 1-14 (.071) in his career against Flaherty
- Riley Greene was 2-11 in the series against the A’s
- Zach McKinstry is 3-13 over his last 4 games
- Brandon Marsh was 3-8 over the last 2 games against the Reds
- Bryce Harper is 0-16 over his last 5 games with 5 BBs and 8 Ks
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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Phillies vs. Tigers
- The Tigers are 49-44 on the Run Line this season
- The Phillies are an MLB-worst 35-59 on the Run Line this season
- The OVER has cashed 40 times in Philadelphia’s 94 games this season (40-49-5)
- The OVER has cashed 40 times in Detroit’s 93 games this season (40-49-4)
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Expert picks & predictions: Phillies vs. Tigers
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Phillies and the Tigers:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Tigers on the Run Line.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 9.0
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