The AL East race is a bit tighter today following the Yankees 5-1 win at Tropicana Field last night over the Rays (52-36). Tampa Bay now leads New York by three games in the division as the teams prepare for the second game of this week’s four-game series.
New York opened the series with that win thanks in large part to their ace, Cam Schlittler. Schlittler worked eight innings, allowing just one run on four hits while striking out eight without and issuing no walks. The Yankees’ offense was limited to just three hits but each of the three was a home run. Jose Caballero cranked out a pair and Ben Rice added one of his own to account for the Yankees’ runs. Griffin Jax absorbed the loss for Tampa despite striking out 10 Yankees over five innings. The Rays managed only four hits and just a single run.
The win was New York’s second in their last ten games while Tampa Bay now has lost three straight.
The Yankees hand the ball tonight to Will Warren. Through 89.1 innings, Warren owns a 7-3 record and 3.73 ERA with 91 strikeouts and a 1.33 WHIP. Warren’s most recent appearance was July 1 against Detroit. He allowed two runs over 5.1 innings in a 6-2 loss. Tampa Bay counters with left-hander Ian Seymour, who has quietly put together a strong first season in the Rays’ rotation. Seymour is 5-1 with a 4.02 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and 60 strikeouts in 56 innings. Opponents have managed just 40 hits against him. Seymour’s most recent outing came on July 2 at Kansas City where he allowed one run over six innings in a 5-2 win.
Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Yankees vs. Rays
- Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
- Time: 6:40PM EST
- Site: Tropicana Field
- City: St. Petersburg, FL
- Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, YES, Rays.TV, TBS
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The Latest Odds: Yankees vs. Rays
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: New York Yankees (+101), Tampa Bay Rays (-122)
- Spread: Rays -1.5 (+169), Yankees +1.5 (-207)
- Total: 8.0 runs
Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Rays vs. Yankees for July 7
- Rays: Ian Seymour
Season Totals: 56.0 IP, 5-1, 4.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 60K, 21 BB - Yankees: Will Warren
Season Totals: 89.1 IP, 7-3, 3.73 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 91K, 29 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Yankees vs. Rays
- Trent Grisham is 3-13 over his last 4 games since returning from the disabled list
- Jose Caballero is 4-12 in July with 2 HRs and 5 RBIs
- Paul Goldschmidt is without a hit in his last 8 games (0-26)
- Ben Rice is 1-3 with 1 HR in his career against Ian Seymour
- Cody Bellinger is 2-21 (.095) to start July after going 2-27 over his last 8 games in June
- Bellinger is 3-3 including 1 HR and 1 2B in his career against Ian Seymour
- Yandy Diaz is 3-7 in his career against Will Warren
- Cedric Mullins is 5-21 in July
- Chandler Simpson has hit in 9 straight games (12-33) and 13 of his last 14 (19-51)
- Jonathan Aranda is 2-5 including 1 HR in his career against Will Warren
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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Yankees vs. Rays
- The Yankees are 41-49 on the Run Line this season
- The Rays are an MLB-best 53-35 on the Run Line this season
- The OVER has cashed 38 times in Tampa’s 88 games this season (38-46-4)
- The OVER has cashed 40 times in the Yankees’ 90 games this season (40-46-4)
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Expert picks & predictions: Yankees vs. Rays
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Rays and the Yankees:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Yankees on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 8.0
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