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Padres vs Braves Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for July 22

The series between the Braves (58-42) and Padres (50-51) is tied up after San Diego won 8-3 on Tuesday night. Both offenses rank top six in batting average to start the second half of the season and top three in SLG, OPS, and OBA.

Manny Machado homered twice and Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the longest home run of the MLB season at 472 feet in the win over Atlanta yesterday. The Padres have scored 29 runs over the last three games and have the second-most (36) to start the second half. Their 13 home runs are tied for the most in that span too.

Atlanta’s offense is just as hot as San Diego’s. The Braves have scored 35 runs over five games (3rd-most) with 11 home runs (3rd), which they’ve needed since the pitching staff has allowed a .274 OBA (24th) and rank 19th in ERA (4.40).

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Padres at Braves

  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM EST
  • Site: Truist Park
  • City: Atlanta, GA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Padres at the Braves

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (-117), San Diego Padres (-103)
  • Spread: Braves +1.5 (-188), Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Total: 8.5

Probable starting pitchers for Padres at Braves

  • Wednesday’s pitching matchup (July 22): Michael King vs. Martin Perez
  • Padres: Michael King

2026 stats: 113.1 IP, 6-7, 3.34 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 96 Ks, 45 BB

2026 Stats: 81.1 IP, 6-6, 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 62 K, 32 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Padres’ Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .286 with 112 hits, 8 home runs and 44 RBI over 392 at-bats
  • The Padres’ Jackson Merrill is hitting .222 with 85 hits and 104 strikeouts over 383 at-bats
  • The Braves’ Michael Harris III is hitting .301 with 107 hits, 18 home runs, and 59 RBI over 356 at-bats
  • The Braves’ Austin Riley is hitting .213 with 77 hits and 117 strikeouts over 361 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Braves

  • The Padres are 53-46 ATS, ranking tied for seventh-best
  • The Braves are 54-44 ATS, ranking sixth-best
  • The Padres are 54-44-1 to the Under, ranking fifth-best
  • The Braves are 47-45-6 to the Over
  • The Padres are 24-22 ATS on the road
  • The Braves are 26-22 ATS at home, ranking eighth-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Braves

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Padres and the Braves:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Braves on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Braves at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 8.5

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)



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